The Erosion 2030 line displays soft coast which modelling predicts will be experiencing erosion by 2030.
It has been created with data derived from Dynamic Coast Phase 2 and a Coastal Erosion Susceptibility Model created by James Fitton to prioritise areas for walkover coastal heritage surveys.
This assessment has been created at a planning scale, based on an underlying grid of 500m2. Therefore, the Erosion 2030 line will also contain stretches of coastline which are not eroding.
For methodology and a fuller description of categories, including those not shown, see our short methodology report Coastal Zone Assessment Survey. Physical Prioritisation: Methodology.
References
Fitton, J. M., Hansom, J. D. and Rennie, A. F. 2016. A national coastal erosion susceptibility model for Scotland. Ocean & Coastal Management, 132, 80-89.
Hurst, M. D., Muir, F. M. E., Rennie, A. F. and Hansom, J. D. 2021. Dynamic Coast: Future Coastal Erosion. CRW2017_08. Scotland’s Centre of Expertise for Waters (CREW). Available online at: https://www.dynamiccoast.com/reports
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